Sunday, December 2, 2018

Bowl Betting Strategies


The Bowl Season is almost here. A parade of meaningless football games will soon be played out in half empty stadiums. However, when it comes to the world of sports betting, there is no such thing as a meaningless game and bowl games have become a very good way for gamblers who know what they are doing to make a lot of money over the holidays.

 Sports gambling is becoming more mainstream by the day in our country. This has much to do with the Supreme Court striking down the 1992 federal law that prohibited sports gambling in all states except for Nevada. Individual states now get to decide for themselves on whether to legalize sports gambling. Are you wondering when and if you will ever be able to place a bet in USA legally in your state? If so, BettingTop 10 has a great guide where they go talk about each state and when they project them to have legalized sports gambling.

If you are not living in New Jersey or Nevada, your only option for legalized wagering is to join a bowl contest like we are conducting once again this year. You can enter now for the Calloways Bowl Challenge. If you are planning on winning the contest, here are some great tips for picking winners against the spread in bowl games:

FINDING TEAMS THAT ARE MOTIVATED

In general, a team that is making its first bowl appearance ever or its first bowl appearance in a long while is going to be a very motivated side. In addition to wanting to represent their school well, these players will appreciate the fact that they are in a bowl game and work hard in the weeks leading up to it.

The same is also true of teams that have a lot of seniors. Top seniors at the big schools may be on their way to the NFL, but the majority of seniors will be playing their last football game ever in these bowl games. A team loaded with seniors at key positions is likely to play very motivated, from the seniors themselves to the teammates who want to send them off with a win.

Losing in a bowl game the previous year can be another strong motivator for bowl teams. After letting their fans and supporters down the year before, a team that gets another shot at a bowl game the following year should have a chip on its shoulder to earn the win this time around.

LOOKING FOR LETDOWN SPOTS

One of the most obvious letdown spots in college football is when an elite team had its sights set on a huge bowl game, only to fall short and end up in a smaller one.

The Alabama Crimson Tide saw their national championship dreams come crashing down in 2014 in a shocking loss in the Iron Bowl after going 11-0 SU and 7-4 ATS in their previous 11 games. Uninterested in the Sugar Bowl that they landed in, the Crimson Tide lost 45-31 to Oklahoma as a 17-point favorite on the point spread.

Another letdown spot is one in which a team’s head coach has taken another coaching job and has left the team before the bowl game. Many college teams are built like families, and having the coach abandon the team for another one can make it hard for some teams to get up for the bowl game to come.

In some bowl games, you can find both a team that is highly motivated and a team that could be poised for a letdown. In these types of matchups, bettors can usually throw the statistics out the window.

Monday, November 19, 2018

Some schools have tradition....

Clemson released a video showcasing touching Howard's Rockk and running down the hill. This is one of the greatest traditions in College Football.



Some schools have traditions...Some schools have a chicken coming out to fire extinguishers and Techno music.

Happy to be headed to Clemson this weekend! The Comrade will experience this tradition and wish he could change his allegiance.

Monday, November 12, 2018

Gamecock fans are giving up?

A gamecock fan called in to the show Rob was on today. This guy says he is done with the gamecocks program.


Do you know fans that feel this way? Respond on Facebook or twitter @Robsoundsgood

Thursday, November 1, 2018

Derrick Lewis is my hero

If you don't know much about Derick Lewis....He is the guy who had this interview...







Lewis has moved on. He is set to fight this weekend for the championship against Cormier. Lewis was asked a simple question of his pre-fight diet. His answer was very Lewis like.





I am not sure if he has a chance on Saturday..But you have to like him for his humor.


Monday, October 22, 2018

Gamecocks and Tigers Looking for Respect and a Way to Make the Rivalry Bigger




If you are a college basketball fan, today is a big day. The AP released their preseason poll and Ken Pomeroy posted his first set of rankings for the season.

Clemson is ranked 22nd in the AP Poll but is 14th in the first KenPom ratings. The KenPom numbers are great because they have no bias while we all know the AP Poll does.

The Gamecocks do not appear anywhere in the AP Poll and are listed 42nd in the KenPom rankings. The Gamecocks have the 6th highest ranking in the KenPom yet were picked to finish 11th in the SEC by the media. Once again, one of those has bias and one does not.

Clemson doesn't have a great out of conference schedule. Of course with their brutal conference schedule they don't need one. Clemson opens their season against The Citadel on November 6th.

Clemson will host 18th ranked Mississippi State, Nebraska and go on the road to face South Carolina before opening up conference play on the road against Duke on January 5th.

The Gamecocks, trying to fight national perception that the SEC is a weak college basketball league, has put together a really tough out of conference schedule.

The Gamecocks will open with SC Upstate on November 6th, host Providence, travel to Wyoming and then face three straight ranked teams when they travel to Michigan (19th ranked), host Virginia (5th ranked) and then host Clemson (22nd ranked).

The Gamecocks will open their conference season on the road against an unranked Florida team.

Clemson and South Carolina will renew their rivalry on Saturday, December 22nd at Colonial Life Arena. Is their a worse time to schedule this rivalry game?

I really wish both schools would figure out a way to schedule this game when students are on campus and when there can be more of a spotlight on the game. Why not schedule it on the Saturday night of the Clemson/SC baseball series? What a fun doubleheader that would be and the basketball game takes on huge importance as teams are trying to build their resumes for a possible spot in the NCAA Tournament.

Back to the actual game this year, the KenPom ratings have Clemson six points better than the Gamecocks on a neutral floor. It should be a great game. It's just too bad it is not a great date.



Sunday, October 14, 2018

The ACC Takes a Huge Step Back in 2018



The ACC had closed the gap the last few years and was arguably the best conference in the country last year, then 2018 happened and it looks more like the mid 1990s.

Both divisions in the ACC have now fallen behind both divisions in the Pac 12. You could easily make the case that the ACC is by far the worst Power 5 conference in the country.

Here is the updated Sagarin Ratings through October 13th:





Tuesday, October 2, 2018

Clemson Continues to Slip in the Ratings



Clemson survived Syracuse this past Saturday but it had an effect on their Sagarin Rating. Clemson dropped to 6th in the country with a rating of  91.18. They now trail Alabama, Ohio State, Penn State, Oklahoma and Georgia.

The Gamecocks come in at #35 but have the 4th toughest schedule in the country to date. By contrast, Clemson has the 38th toughest schedule to date.

South Carolina has a rating 78.16. which puts them 13 points behind Clemson on a neutral field.

The SEC East is rated as the fourth best division in the country with the SEC West coming in at number one.

The ACC Atlantic is #6 while the ACC Coastal is #8



Monday, October 1, 2018

Big Blue Smokes The Comrade!

The Comrade was big wrong again on his pick for the Kentucky game. Kentucky has the high 5 going for South Carolina. Rob made a special opener for The Comrade...who is really hurt.




Follow Rob on twitter @robsoundsgood
Follow Mike on twitter@Thepeskypole


Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Will the gamecocks stop big blue?




A breakdown from SECFans on the game this week.




We will have our picks for the game tomorrow night. Check us out live at 10:15 for pillow talk!


A hint on what Rob thinks will happen...


Monday, September 17, 2018

SEC/ACC Rankings: Week 4



We are headed to Week 4 and Alabama continues to roll. They remain in the top spot as the gap continues to grow. Clemson holds off Georgia for the #2 spot and Arkansas free falls all the way to the bottom of these rankings.

For those keeping track, and I know you are, Clemson is projected as 16 points better than South Carolina on a neutral field. Clemson's strength of schedule dips to 98. That should get a boost after their games with Georgia Tech this week.


TeamSagarin RatingSOS Rank
Alabama10628
Clemson9298
Georgia91129
Miss. State89173
Auburn889
LSU867
Virginina Tech85131
Texas A&M84147
Miami8454
Duke8331
NC State81119
Boston College80178
Missouri77128
Florida77154
South Carolina7629
Ole Miss7516
Syracuse75117
Georgia Tech7471
Louisville74125
Kentucky74168
FSU7326
Vanderbilt7381
Wake Forest7377
Virginia7193
Tennessee69213
Pittsburgh6948
North Carolina6736
Arkansas63140


Wednesday, September 12, 2018

Comrade is sooooo wrong

The Comrade likes to pull screenshots. I thought it would be good to show his thoughts compared to Rob on the show. Listen to his nonsense about Georgia....Rob nailed it...The Comrade...not so much

Could he be anymore wrong? Catch more of the Comrade and his silly picks tonight on the show.

SEC/ACC Rankings: Week 3




We enter week three of the college football season and here are the latest Sagarin Ratings for all the SEC and ACC teams.


Georgia jumped Auburn after their beat down of South Carolina. Clemson stays at #2 but they dropped from a 94 rating to a 92 rating after escaping from College Station with a win.

The Gamecocks dropped one spot and lost two rating points after their loss. The Gamecocks' strength of schedule ranking is now 51st in the country which is the best SOS ranking of any SEC team. That isn't exactly impressive.

As we look forward to the Clemson/South Carolina game, according to the Sagarin Ratings, Clemson is 16 points better than the Gamecocks on a neutral field.

Four ACC teams top the SOS list with Duke, FSU, Louisville and North Carolina.


TeamSagarin RatingSOS Rank
Alabama10359
Clemson9281
Georgia9098
Auburn89125
Miss. State89133
Texas A&M8682
Virginina Tech86105
LSU8588
Duke8328
NC State81129
Miami81179
Boston College80204
Ole Miss7985
FSU7834
Missouri78158
South Carolina7651
Georgia Tech76142
Louisville7537
Florida74150
Kentucky7390
Vanderbilt73138
Wake Forest73146
Virginia7096
Syracuse70198
Tennessee69145
Arkansas68171
North Carolina6745
Pittsburgh6789


Tuesday, September 11, 2018

Report: State Officials Urging Gamecocks to Cancel Game This Weekend




The Gamecocks are hoping to rebound this weekend against Marshall but state officials would rather them cancel the game to help with Hurricane Florence preparations.

As of right now, local high schools in Columbia are being set up to house and feed lineman and emergency personnel who will be on call to deal with the after effects of Florence. State officials would prefer them be in hotel rooms. That can only happen if the Gamecock game is canceled this weekend.

So far the North Carolina/Central Florida game has been canceled as well as the West Virginia/N.C. State game.





Monday, September 10, 2018

Trial of the Century: Did That Fumble Saturday Night Really Go Through the End Zone?

The folks at SEC Shorts give us this trial where the pylon, that's right the pylon gets on the stand to tell us all what he really saw on Saturday night


 





Thursday, September 6, 2018

The Comrade's College Football Betting System: Five Locks for Week 2




I made a video last week and let's just say it didn't work out too well. Yes, I looked great as always but the picks were horrible. It was quite possibly the worst weekend of gambling in my life.

I have been under the hood looking at the system. The system is sound but it needed a little oil. It is time to get it up and running for the weekend.

Here are my betting system locks for the weekend:

Stanford -3.5 over Southern Cal
Kansas State +9.5 over Mississippi State
Army -9.5 over Liberty
Colorado +5.5 over Nebraska
California +3.5 over BYU

Rob and I made our picks on the South Carolina and Clemson games along with a few other key games this weekend on our podcast. Listen to those picks here

If you want my best baseball picks. Check out the Pesky Pole Blog

As always, if these picks help to make you money come back and feel free to donate some of your winnings. Good luck






Tuesday, September 4, 2018

If you are going to burn your Nikes..

People across the country are upset about Nike using Colin Kapernik as a spokesman for an ad campaign. People are setting shoes on fire. If you plan on doing something like this guy did....


Save the shoes...Donate them to the Oliver Gospel Mission.
You can also donate them to the VA. They will get them to a veteran who can use them.






SEC/ACC Rankings: Week 2




Week one is in the books and it is time to look at the updated Sagarin Ratings. We will do this weekly to see where teams in the SEC and ACC relate to each other. The Strength of Schedule (SOS) ranking is the national ranking among all teams based on the games they have played. This is why both South Carolina and Clemson have such a bad SOS currently. That will change drastically after next week.

You will notice the SEC has 6 of the top 8 while the ACC has 7 of the Top 13. The SEC has the two worst teams in Vanderbilt and Tennessee.



TeamSagarin RatingSOS Rank
Alabama10244
Clemson94140
Auburn927
Virginina Tech8823
Georgia87166
Miss. State87188
LSU8532
Texas A&M82197
Miami8118
Boston College81125
FSU8017
Duke8077
NC State8082
Florida79182
South Carolina78150
Georgia Tech78191
Louisville771
Ole Miss7763
Missouri75162
North Carolina7437
Pittsburgh74164
Wake Forest7379
Arkansas72173
Syracuse7076
Kentucky70128
Virginia70155
Vanderbilt69129
Tennessee6629


Friday, August 31, 2018

The Comrade's College Football Betting System: Five Locks for Week 1

Rob and I made our picks on Wednesday's podcast for the ten big games of the college football weekend. It is now time to hear my locks for the weekend using my betting system. If you like to gamble on college football you will find that the games who tend to have the most betting value are the ones that tend to slide under the radar each weekend.

Here are my Five Locks for Week 1 of the College Football Season



 If these picks helped you win money, feel free to donate some of your winnings back to The Comrade





Thursday, July 26, 2018

My Old Kentucky Home

A great show last night. Rob brought in the goodness..He dusted off the pipes and sang My Old Kentucky Home. He was trying to remind the Comrade of his teams issues with Kentucky.

Check out the song below.





Check out the entire show here.





In case your gamecock friends need a reminder. Show them the highlights of the last 4 years. In 2017...






In 2016


In 2015



And lets not forget 2014.





Make sure you share this page with all of your gamecock friends when they talk about how The Kentucky game is a pushover.

Friday, June 22, 2018

Numbers do not Lie

I have seen lots of gamecock fans running mouth on twitter and facebook about the College World Series. This is kid of funny...because they are not in it. They won a couple of titles back when Steve Jobs was alive. They still think they absolutely own the world. I broke down here before the gamecock lies on attendence and strength of schedule. Today I break down more gamecock lies. Gamecocks think because they won a couple of national titles in baseball and a national title in women's basketball that the world should stop spinning. I have the numbers here to prove...America does not care. Those are nitch sports. I love college baseball. These numbers show the country could care less. I like women's hoops. The Country could care less. I took the numbers from Nielson...they rate what people watch.
In 2011 the gamecock baseball team played in the CWS finals.
They drew a 1.4 rating and 2.2 milion people watched the game.
The national champion women's  gamecock basketball team in the final drew 3.8 million viewers.

That all sounds like a lot. Until....you look at the National Championship game  between Clemson and Alabama where Clemson picked up the national title.
14.2 rating. 25.2 million people watched that game.


Combined that is 6.11 million for baseball and hoops. Football got 4 times as many.

These are unquestionable facts. Show them to gamecock fans when they start talking about national titles. They won a national Title in sports that the country see as a nitch sport.

Wednesday, June 20, 2018

The odds to make the CFP were released...who would you bet on?
Gamecocks are at 40-1.






Monday, May 21, 2018

Aaron Fitt from D1baseball joins Rob on The Rundown.

Aaron Fitt from D1baseball joined Rob on his show The Rundown. this afternoon. Aaron does not have Clemson in the Mix to be a national seed despite these comments from Clemson Coach Monte Lee.






Fitt says Clemson has a little work to do in Durham if they want to catch that national seed.




Follow Rob on Twitter @Robsoundsgood.


Monday, May 14, 2018

Is Sports betting coming to South Carolina?

SC Rep. Todd Rutherford joined Rob on his afternoon show today to talk sports betting. The Comrade also paid a visit to get his 2 cents in.




If you want more or Rob's show check out The Rundown on Fox Sports Radio 1400 in Columbia weekdays 3-4.


Thursday, May 10, 2018

Rob goes off on the Holbrook Haters.

The gamecocks got hammered tonight by The College of Charleston. Rob got tired of hearing the Holbrook haters...and it finally set him off.




Check out the full show HERE.

Wednesday, April 4, 2018

Podcasts to listen to..when you don't listen to us.

I often get asked about podcasts I listen to. I thought I would post this today to share a couple that I enjoy.

I love wrestling! I remember watching as a kid and thinking that Ric Flair was the absolute man!
How can you not love a guy who says stuff like this?



I miss the good ole days! I do like to listen to some wrestling podcasts. I recommend 2.

Something to Wrestle With Bruce Prichard. Bruce is the man who played Brother Love on WWE television. Behind the scenes he was Vince McMahon's right hand man. Check out this track where Prichard talks about Stone Cold Steve Austin.




If you are in to WCW then you gotta check out Tony Schiavone on What Happened when Monday.




Thanks for checking this out!

Follow Rob on Twitter @robsoundsgood
Follow The Comrade @thepeskypole




Monday, March 26, 2018

Brownell is not the answer for Clemson hoops.

Rob thinks we need more from Clemson hoops. Check out this bit from the latest show.




Listen to the full show here.
Latest Rob and Comrade Show

Tuesday, March 13, 2018

Coach Earl Grant interview

Rob got a chance to interview Coach Earl Grant from The College of Charleston yesterday. Check out the interview with the Cougars head coach.

Friday, March 9, 2018

The truth about Strength of Schedule in College Football.

It seems like every day I notice fans arguing before the season starts about who has the toughest strength of schedule. I have said this on the show before...none of it matters until the entire season has been played. This is the only way to know if your team played a tough schedule...or a schedule of cupcakes. The only thing you can really bash a schedule for in the preseason is if a team schedules small schools from conferences like the Southern/Big South Etc.If you are in a power 5 conference you can't help who your conference opponents are. You also can't help who your rotational opponents are.The trick is to wait until the end of the season and see where it all shakes out.

I write this because I have seen a lot of gamecock fans running mouths about the Clemson schedule for next season. These same fans are under the illusion that they played a tough schedule last season.

Look at the South Carolina schedule from last season. The gamecocks at the beginning of the season looked to have a tough schedule. They had games on the road at Tennessee as well as Clemson and at Texas A&M and Georgia. The home schedule included a game with Florida. The AP Poll had Clemson ranked 5th,Georgia 15th,Florida 17th and Tennessee 25th in week 1. That looks like a tough schedule! Then...as my podcast hero Bruce Prichard would say...the bell rang.Here is how the opponents on the gamecock conference schedule finished up the season.

First the bad...

Florida ended the season 4-7 overall 3-5 in conference play..they fired their coach.
Tennessee finished 4-8 overall and did not win a conference game....they fired their coach.
Texas A&M finished 7-6 overall 4-4 in conference play...they fired their coach.
Arkansas finished 4-8 overall 1-7 in conference play....they fired their coach.


The gamecocks picked up 3 wins from these teams who by the time they got to the gamecocks pretty much knew the season was shot.

Now for the good.

Georgia finished 13-2 overall 7-1 in conference play.

Outside of Conference play the gamecocks got a good win over NC State the wolfpack finished 9-4 overall and 6-2 in ACC play. They lost the rivalry game to Clemson for the 4th straight season 34-10.
The Tigers finished the year 12-2 overall 7-1 in conference play.

This is 2 of the gamecocks losses on the season.

The gamecocks also picked up wins over LA Tech who finished 7-6 overall and 4-4 in Conference USA.

The gamecocks other wins on the season came over Vandy <5-7 1-7> Mizzou <7-6 4-4> Wofford <FCS>

They also lost to Kentucky at home...the wildcats are going for the thumb after winning 4 straight against the gamecocks.

The final win is over Michigan in the Outback bowl. I think that may have been the most impressive win on the schedule.

It wraps up like this...2 good wins? Michigan and NC State.
2 losses that were blowouts to teams that the gamecocks were completely overmatched.
1 loss to Texas A&M who had more depth and pulled away late.
1 loss to Kentucky who is once again going for the thumb this season.
1 win over Wofford an FCS School.
1 win over Vandy...who won just 1 conference game.
1 win over a mid tier Conference USA team.
1 win over Mizzou.
3 wins over dumpster fires that changed coaches.

Those 9 wins look paper thin to me.

Once you break it down like that..it makes you wonder how gamecock fans can run mouths about schedules.

The trick is to look as the season ends. https://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/ranking/schedule-strength-by-other has the SOS at the end of the year.

Here is the rundown since 2014

2014
Clemson is 29th
South Carolina is 30th


2015
Clemson is 4th
South Carolina is 41st

2016
Clemson is 3rd
South Carolina is 59th

2017
Clemson is 4th
South Carolina is 48th


The proof is in the numbers. Gamecock fans think about that...when the season ends Clemson finishes with more wins...and they play a tougher schedule. If you are a Clemson fan share this with your gamecock buddies. We have to educate people if we want them to be better.














Recruiting rundown with Ben Simmons

Running back MarShawn Lloyd committed to the South Carolina football team on Monday, a bit of a shock on the recruiting trail. Lloyd is l...